The probability does not apply to individual cases.
Also, they are a number of causes of death. If one wants to relate individuals to statistics, then the risk shall be computed taking into account most of the risk factors, such as occupation, weight, heart diseases, family, smoking, drinking a.s.o. Each factor shalll be weighted by the expected impact and the cross-influence between them should be analyzed and translated into a matrix.
To me, such a complex calculation falls far behind the capability of an animal shelter. Accepting only age as a risk factor is misleading. I don't say age is to be neglected, but looking only to age is a mathematical mistake.
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Why somebody will bother to gather personal data (which in Europe is not a simple operation, I don't know how it is in the USA), then evaluate the accuracy, spot the errors, and then go to a complex calculation, which results in percentages which at their turn is very complicated to judge?!
In my opinion, it is more simple to ask every single adopter, regardless the age, about backup plans and to include a "return-at-will" clause into the adoption contract.
This contract provision does not mean that potential adopters shouldn't be interviewed.
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In my country people are happy to find adopters, very few- if any - question the capacity of the adopter.
Also, they are a number of causes of death. If one wants to relate individuals to statistics, then the risk shall be computed taking into account most of the risk factors, such as occupation, weight, heart diseases, family, smoking, drinking a.s.o. Each factor shalll be weighted by the expected impact and the cross-influence between them should be analyzed and translated into a matrix.
To me, such a complex calculation falls far behind the capability of an animal shelter. Accepting only age as a risk factor is misleading. I don't say age is to be neglected, but looking only to age is a mathematical mistake.
===
Why somebody will bother to gather personal data (which in Europe is not a simple operation, I don't know how it is in the USA), then evaluate the accuracy, spot the errors, and then go to a complex calculation, which results in percentages which at their turn is very complicated to judge?!
In my opinion, it is more simple to ask every single adopter, regardless the age, about backup plans and to include a "return-at-will" clause into the adoption contract.
This contract provision does not mean that potential adopters shouldn't be interviewed.
===
In my country people are happy to find adopters, very few- if any - question the capacity of the adopter.
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